Date(s) - 22/11/2019
1:00 pm - 4:00 pm

NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust and King’s College London
16th Floor, Tower Wing, Guy’s Hospital, Great Maze Pond

This is an introductory course for anyone who is interested in finding out about mathematical tools related to the development of diagnostic and prognostic models in clinical practice. This course will suit researchers, clinicians or non-clinicians, who have an interest in optimizing diagnostic and prognostic systems and who need to present their work for publication or grant application. The basic concepts including how to develop and evaluate the performance of diagnostic/prognostic models will be explained through the use of real examples. Available software will also be discussed.

Course description

There is an increasing importance of diagnostic and prognostic tools in medicine and healthcare. More than ever the practice of medicine and delivery of healthcare depends upon making an accurate diagnosis or a prognosis based on the use of these tools. These models are increasingly used to complement clinical reasoning and medical decision-making. The reliability of a test has to be known in making a diagnosis or a prognosis. This course aims to equip participants to further develop their understanding on interpreting parameters of diagnostic and prognostic tests and on comparing the quality of these tools.

Learning objectives

By the end of the session, participants should be able to:

  • Identify the correct statistical test for evaluating diagnostic tests
  • Design and conduct a ROC study
  • Increasing the knowledge of the roles that prognostic models may play in clinical practice and the factors that determine the validity of predictions from a prognostic model
  • Understand the various steps to develop a prognostic model, from the selection of predictors to the appraisal of the external validity
  • Summarise the results of diagnostic and prognostic studies in a publication or grant application.

Who can attend?

The courses are free for health care professionals employed by organisations associated with the National Institute of Health Research Biomedical Research Centre at Guy’s & St Thomas’ and King’s College London:

  • King’s College London
  • Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust
  • South London and the Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust
  • King’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
  • St George’s University of London
  • St George’s Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust

Places are booked on a first come, first served basis. If the module is full, your name will be placed on a waiting list and if a place becomes available you will contacted at the latest 72 hours beforehand.

Non Attendance Policy

The courses in this programme are very popular and are often oversubscribed. If you are unable to attend a course you are booked on to you must notify us 72 hours in advance so we can offer the place to someone else.

If you do not attend on the day and are unable to provide a satisfactory explanation you may be removed from future course bookings.

For further information please contact the NIHR Guy’s and St Thomas’ BRC Research Training Programme at